Category Archives: NFL Picks

2011 NFL Season – Super Bowl XLVI

Last Week: 1-1 (.500)  Playoffs: 6-4 (.625)

It all comes down to this.  Winner gets the Lombardi Trophy.  Loser gets a few bucks, but they don’t get an “I went to Indiana and all I got was this lousy t-shirt” t-shirt.  A Manning will be playing in Indianapolis, but it’s not Peyton or Archie.  It’s Eli.  And Mario Manning(ham).

2/5 6:30 ET New England  -3 NY Giants

NY Giants (12-7) vs. New England (15-3)

This pains me.  As a lifetime Giants-Hater/Redskins fan since 1997, the last thing I want to see a division rival in the Super Bowl.  I especially didn’t want to see the Giants because I am currently living in New Jersey and I don’t want to hear Giants fans when I parade around town donning my Rex Grossman jersey.

Another thing in the Giants favor is that this should be a heavy pro-Giants crowd.  Besides the Manning connection, people from Indianapolis do not like the Patriots.  They don’t like Bradys who are not named Greg, Peter, Bobby, Marcia, Jan, or Cindy.  Lucas Oil Field will be hostile for the Patriots.

Life can be cruel, and I have a feeling life will be cruel and I will be heckled by Giants fan throughout the off-season.  Take the Giants and the points and hope that I am wrong.

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2011 NFL Season – Conference Championship Games

Last Week: 2-2 (.500)  Playoffs: 5=3 (.625)

If I was just picking winners and not going against the point spread, I would have been 4-0.  But the rules can’t be changed in the middle of the game.  There are only three games left to pick (two this week and Super Bowl XLVI).  I never mentioned it, but I ended up with a 19-16 record picking college bowl games.  (Not bad since I only watched a few LSU games and a few University of Pittsburgh games – and I got both of their games wrong.)

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
1/22 3:00 ET At New England (14-3)  -7 Baltimore (13-4)
1/22 6:30 ET At San Francisco (14-3)  -2.5 NY Giants (11-7)

I want so much to pick the Ravens (even though I don’t like them). I am tempted to pick them because of their defense. But I have a feeling that the Patriots will score early and often and that Tom Brady is on a mission from Tim Tebow God.  Take the Patriots and give the points.

The Giants are one of those teams.  They seem to play their best football when they are not the best team on the field on paper.  Anf frankly, it sickens this Redskins fan.  Rather than picking the 49ers as a heart pick, I will pick the Giants and take the points.  I hope I am wrong.


2011 NFL Season – Division Round Playoffs

Last Week: 3-1  Playoffs: 3-1

Overall it was a very good week.  It would figure that the one game I picked incorrectly was the team I picked to win the Super Bowl (Lions.)  This weekend’s games look a lot tougher to pick, but I will give it my best shot.  Don’t try this at home.

New Orleans (14-3) at San Francisco (13-3) Line: Saints by 4
This might be the easiest game to pick, but it doesn’t mean I will get it right. I will still try though. The Saints will march into San Francisco only to wish they haven’t. The Saints’ offense will struggle on grass and against the 49ers’ tough defense. Frank Gore will have a pretty good game running on the Saints. Take the 49ers and the points.

Denver (9-8) at New England (13-3) Line: Patriots by 13.5
I think the Patriots will win, but the question will be by how much? The Broncos had a 17-7 lead in the week 15 matchup in Denver. The Patriots outscored the Broncos 34-6 the rest of the game. Can the Broncos play like they did early in the first game or will the entire game be like the second half? Patriots win the game, but the Broncos keep it close. Take the Broncos and the points.

Houston (11-6) at Baltimore (12-4) Line: Ravens by 7.5
Like the Saints, the Texans are a dome team traveling outdoors. Unlike San Francisco, it will be cold in Baltimore. Ray Rice will run better against Houston’s defense than Arian Foster will against Baltimore’s defense. Take the Ravens and give the points.

N.Y.Giants (10-7) at Green Bay (15-1) Line: Packers by 7.5
Conventional wisdom says to take the Packers, but this game trumps conventional wisdom. The Giants are playing their best football now while the Packers have been struggling a bit since clinching the division. I sense an upset here. Take the Giants and the points.


2011 NFL Season – Wild Card Round

Last Week: 6-9-1  (.306)  Best Bets: 1-2  (.333)

Season-to-date: 122-123-9 (.498) Best Bets: 24-19-1 (.557)

If I proved anything this year, it’s that no lead is too safe.  I was 12 games over .500 after week 12.  Going 21-34-1 in the last five weeks brought me down.  The playoffs are a different sack of noodles.  I will pick the games and explain why I made the picks, but I will not be making any best bets.

1/7 4:30 ET At Houston -4 Cincinnati

I don’t have a clue.  It’s not going to stop me from guessing.  My guess is that Houston will be able to run better than Cincinnati will be able to pass.  Take the Texans and give the points.
1/7 8:00 ET At New Orleans -10.5 Detroit

I’m a glutton for punishment when it comes to keeping my word.  I picked the Lions to win the Super Bowl at the beginning of the season.  Take the Lions and the points.

1/8 1:00 ET At NY Giants -3 Atlanta

Which Giants team will show up?  Will it be the team that beat the Cowboys twice or will it be the team that lost to Seattle at home and demolished in New Orleans?  My guess is the former because the players don’t want to face the wrath of Tom Coughlin.  Take the Giants and give the points even though Julio Jones will have a big game for the Falcons.

1/8 4:30 ET Pittsburgh -8.5 At Denver

I see the Steelers winning outright, but I see the Broncos keeping it close as their defense shouldn’t have much problem holding Pittsburgh’s banged up offense.  Take the Broncos and the points.


2011 NFL Season – Week 17

Last Week: 6-10  (.375)  Best Bets: 0-3 (.000)

Season-to-date: 116-114-8 (.504) Best Bets: 23-17-1 (.573)

I started out so well at picking games, but lately I have been as bad as the guys on TV.  I have resorted to picking this week’s games by coin toss as thinking hasn’t worked lately.  The “Best Bets” were also randomly chosen.   Enjoy the new year!

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
1/1 1:00 ET At Philadelphia -8.5 Washington
1/1 4:15 ET At Atlanta -11.5 Tampa Bay
1/1 1:00 ET San Francisco -10.5 At St. Louis
1/1 1:00 ET At Minnesota -1 Chicago
1/1 1:00 ET Detroit -3.5 At Green Bay
1/1 8:20 ET At NY Giants -3 Dallas
1/1 1:00 ET At New Orleans -8 Carolina
1/1 1:00 ET Tennessee -3 At Houston
1/1 4:15 ET Baltimore -2 At Cincinnati
1/1 4:15 ET Pittsburgh -7 At Cleveland
1/1 1:00 ET At Jacksonville -3.5 Indianapolis
1/1 1:00 ET At Miami -2.5 NY Jets
1/1 1:00 ET At New England -10.5 Buffalo
1/1 4:15 ET At Oakland -3 San Diego
1/1 4:15 ET At Denver -3 Kansas City
1/1 4:15 ET At Arizona -3 Seattle

2011 NFL Season – Week 16

Last Week: 2-14  (.125)  Best Bets: 1-2 (.333)

Season-to-date: 110-104-8 (.514) Best Bets: 23-14-1 (.618)

Why do I bother?  This was the worst week I ever had.  Wrong on Thursday, Saturday, Sunday early games, late games, Sunday night, and Monday.  The bright side is that if I reverse last week’s record this week, I’ll clinch being at least above .500.

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/22 8:25 ET Houston -7 At Indianapolis
12/24 1:00 ET At Kansas City -2.5 Oakland
12/24 1:00 ET Denver -3 At Buffalo
12/24 1:00 ET At Tennessee -7.5 Jacksonville
12/24 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -4 Arizona
12/24 1:00 ET At New England -9.5 Miami
12/24 1:00 ET At Baltimore -12.5 Cleveland
12/24 1:00 ET At NY Jets -3 NY Giants
12/24 1:00 ET At Washington -6.5 Minnesota
12/24 1:00 ET At Carolina -7.5 Tampa Bay
12/24 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh -14 St. Louis
12/24 4:05 ET At Detroit -2.5 San Diego
12/24 4:15 ET San Francisco -2.5 At Seattle
12/24 4:15 ET At Dallas -2 Philadelphia
12/25 8:30 ET At Green Bay -13 Chicago

   Monday Night Football Point Spread

12/26 8:35 ET At New Orleans -6.5 Atlanta

NOTE: Although there are no Thursday games next week, I will make a fool of myself on Thursday instead of Friday (Which was the case earlier in the season before Thursday Night games.)


2011 NFL Season – Week 15

Last Week: 11-5 (.688) Best Bets: 1-2 (.333)

Season-to-date: 108-90-8 (.544) Best Bets: 22-12-1 (.642)

Good thing I had was hot in picking Best Best in the beginning of the season, because I’ve been bad for a while now. Fortunately, I have clinched a winning record with Best Bets for the season. I had a good week overall. I am riding the Tebow bandwagon again this week.

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/15 8:25 ET At Atlanta -13.5 Jacksonville
12/17 8:25 ET Dallas -6.5 At Tampa Bay
12/18 1:00 ET At NY Giants -6.5 Washington
12/18 1:00 ET Green Bay -13.5 At Kansas City
12/18 1:00 ET New Orleans -6.5 At Minnesota
12/18 1:00 ET At Chicago -3.5 Seattle
12/18 1:00 ET At Buffalo  PK Miami
12/18 1:00 ET At Houston -6 Carolina
12/18 1:00 ET Tennessee -6.5 At Indianapolis
12/18 1:00 ET Cincinnati -6.5 At St. Louis
12/18 4:05 ET Detroit -1 At Oakland
12/18 4:15 ET New England -7 At Denver
12/18 4:15 ET At Philadelphia -3 NY Jets
12/18 4:15 ET At Arizona -6.5 Cleveland
12/18 8:30 ET Baltimore -2.5 At San Diego

   Monday Night Football Point Spread

12/19 8:35 ET At San Francisco -3 Pittsburgh

2011 NFL Season – Week 14

Last Week: 8-8  (.500) Best Bets: 1-2 (.333)

Season-to-date: 97-85-8 (.534) Best Bets: 21-10-1 (.722)

Meh.  Just meh.  The more I do this, the more I think I know more about politics than I do about football.  If I do well in the early games, I get killed in the late games.  Last week I got killed in the early games and did well in the other games.  This week I will try something different:  I will pick the early games thinking I have already tanked the late games and I will pick the late games thinking I had already bombed in the early games.  Yeah.  That will work.

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/8 8:25 ET At Pittsburgh -14 Cleveland
12/11 1:00 ET At Baltimore -16.5 Indianapolis
12/11 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -3 Houston
12/11 4:15 ET At Green Bay -11 Oakland
12/11 1:00 ET At NY Jets -9 Kansas City
12/11 1:00 ET At Detroit -8 Minnesota
12/11 1:00 ET New Orleans -3.5 At Tennessee
12/11 1:00 ET At Miami -3 Philadelphia
12/11 1:00 ET New England -8 At Washington
12/11 1:00 ET Atlanta -2.5 At Carolina
12/11 1:00 ET At Jacksonville  PK Tampa Bay
12/11 4:05 ET San Francisco -3.5 At Arizona
12/11 4:05 ET At Denver -3.5 Chicago
12/11 4:15 ET At San Diego -7 Buffalo
12/11 8:30 ET At Dallas -3.5 NY Giants

 

   Monday Night Football Point Spread

12/12 8:35 ET At Seattle -5.5 St. Louis

2011 NFL Season – Week 13

Last Week: 11-5  (.688) Best Bets: 1-2 (.333)

Season-to-date: 89-77-8 (.534) Best Bets: 20-8-1 (.722)

My best bets turned out to be a turkey, but my other picks were a feast.  We’re now into December and real football.  The men will be separated from the boys and the cream will rise to the top.  The same goes for me and my picks.  Here we go!

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/1 8:25 ET Philadelphia -3 At Seattle
12/4 1:00 ET At Buffalo -1.5 Tennessee
12/4 1:00 ET At Chicago -7 Kansas City
12/4 1:00 ET At Miami -3 Oakland
12/4 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh -6.5 Cincinnati
12/4 4:05 ET Baltimore -6.5 At Cleveland
12/4 1:00 ET NY Jets -3 At Washington
12/4 1:00 ET Atlanta -2.5 At Houston
12/4 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -3 Carolina
12/4 8:30 ET At New Orleans -9 Detroit
12/4 1:00 ET At Minnesota -1.5 Denver
12/4 4:15 ET At San Francisco -13 St. Louis
12/4 4:15 ET Dallas -4.5 At Arizona
12/4 4:15 ET Green Bay -6.5 At NY Giants
12/4 1:00 ET At New England -20 Indianapolis

 

   Monday Night Football Point Spread

12/5 8:35 ET San Diego -3 At Jacksonville

2011 NFL Season – Week 12

Last Week: 7-5-2  (.571) Best Bets: 1-1 (500)

Season-to-date: 78-72-8 (.527) Best Bets: 19-7-1 (.722)

No more byes.  That means three best bets each week for the rest of the season.  This week I will give you some insight into my thinking involving one of my best bets.  Denver is a six-point underdog at San Diego.  Much has been made about Tim Tebow not being throw accurately.  What Tebow lacks in accuracy he makes up for in heart and ability to read defenses.  While he doesn’t throw accurately to his own receivers, he doesn’t throw many to the other team either.  The Broncos will win outright.

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
11/24 12:30 ET Green Bay -6.5 At Detroit
11/24 4:15 ET At Dallas -7 Miami
11/24 8:20 ET At Baltimore -3.5 San Francisco
11/27 1:00 ET At St. Louis -3 Arizona
11/27 1:00 ET At NY Jets -9 Buffalo
11/27 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -7 Cleveland
11/27 1:00 ET Houston -3.5 At Jacksonville
11/27 1:00 ET Carolina -3 At Indianapolis
11/27 1:00 ET At Tennessee -3 Tampa Bay
11/27 1:00 ET At Atlanta -9.5 Minnesota
11/27 4:05 ET At Oakland -4 Chicago
11/27 4:05 ET At Seattle -3.5 Washington
11/27 4:15 ET New England -3 At Philadelphia
11/27 4:15 ET At San Diego -6 Denver
11/27 8:30 ET Pittsburgh -10.5 At Kansas City

 

   Monday Night Football Point Spread

11/28 8:35 ET At New Orleans -7 NY Giants

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